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Models

CPB uses different models for making forecasts and analyses. Below, a list of all the models CPB uses at this moment.

Macro-economic models

SAFFIER II

Short- and medium-term forecasts and analyses for the Dutch economy.

Worldscan

International long-term scenarios, e.g. about European integration or about climate policy.

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Models on taxes, social security and labour market

MIMIC

Long-term analysis of policy with respect to taxes, social security and labour market.

MIMOSI

Short-term and medium-term forecasts and analysis of the revenues and expenditures for each social security fund.
Short-term and medium-term forecasts and analysis of the wage and income tax.

Actuaris

Analysis of the long-term developments in pension premiums and benefits.

TAXUS

Short-term and medium-term forecasts of taxes other than wage and income tax.

Accounting scheme labour supply

Short-term and medium-term forecasts of labour supply.

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Models on ageing and (sustainable) government finance

Generational accounting

Bookkeeping calculations of government revenues and expenditures in the long run.
Bookkeeping calculations of the net benefits for future generations.
Bookkeeping calculations of sustainable government finance (tax gap).

GAMMA

Long-term analysis of ageing and sustainable government finance.

Government account

Detailed bookkeeping for overall government finance in the short term and yhe medium term.
Forecasting of government revenues and expenditures other than taxes, social security contributions and social benefits.

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Models on purchasing power and labour costs

MIMOSI

Calculation of the changes in the real disposable income of households (purchasing power), the average labour costs, the wedge and replacement rates.

Accounting scheme

Bookkeeping calculation over the full life cycle of the distribution of earned incomes, the redistribution by government and the resulting distribution of welfare.

Lifetime redistribution

Bookkeeping calculation of the marginal tax burden over de full life cycle.

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Cost-benefit analyses 

Cost-benefit analysis

A cost-benefit analysis is a systematic method to evaluate the costs and benefits of a project for a society as a whole.

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Statistical models

WISER

Short-term estimate of wage rates

Business-cycle indicator

Signalling of changes in the business cycle on the basis of leading indicators.

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