March 16, 2010

CPBs short-term forecasts March/April 2010

The Dutch economy is expected to grow by 1½% this year and 2% in 2011. Following the historically deep economic contraction in 2009 (of 4%), unemployment will rise to 500,000 (on average) in both years. The average contractual wage increase is projected to equal inflation, at 1¼% in 2010 and 1½% in 2011.

Main conclusions of CPB’s short-term forecasts March/April 2010

  • The Dutch economy is expected to grow by 1½% in 2010. For next year, a growth rate of 2% is foreseen.
  • Economic growth returned in the third quarter of 2009. Nevertheless, the production level in 2011 will still be below its peak of early 2008.
  • The estimated average unemployment rate in both 2010 and 2011 is 6½% of the labour force, or 500 000 people.
  • Contractual wage growth in the market sector will be equal to inflation this and next year: 1¼% in 2010 and 1½% in 2011.
  • The government budget deficit will be 6.3% GDP this year. The deficit falls to 4.9% GDP in 2011.

Read here the accompanying press release.

Economic growth in the Netherlands, 2008-2011

This chart depicts the growth of the Dutch economy in the Netherlands from 2008 to 2011.

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