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Preliminary table Main Economic Indicators 2011-2014 (August 2013)

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Short-term forecast, 14 August 2013

Preliminary table Main Economic Indicators of the upcoming Macro Economic Outlook 2014, to be published on the 17th of September 2013.

Read the accompanying press release.

Preliminary table 'Extended main economic indicators', 2011-2014, August 2013

International items
 2011201220132014
Relevant world trade (vol. %)

4.0

0.7

1 1/2

3 3/4

Import price goods (%)

5.1

2.7

-1 1/2

0

Export price competitors (%)

6.3

4.1

1/4

1/2

Crude oil price (Brent, $)

111.3

111.7

105

103

Exchange rate (dollar p euro)

1.39

1.28

1.32

1.32

Long-term interest rate
(level in %)

3.0

1.9

1.9

2.4

Demand and foreign trade (volume)
 2011201220132014
Gross domestic product
(GDP, economic growth) (%)

0.9

-1.2

-1 1/4

3/4

Value gross domestic
product (GDP) (bln euro)

599.0

599.3

603

616

Private consumption (%)

-1.1

-1.6

-2 1/4

-3/4

Public demand (%)

-0.6

-0.8

-1 1/4

1

Gross fixed investment,
private non-residential (%)

12.3

-2.9

-11 1/4

2

Exports of goods
(non-energy) (%)

4.4

1.9

2 3/4

4 1/4

of which domestically
produced (%)

3.8

0.7

1

3 1/2

re-exports (%)

4.9

3.0

4 1/4

5

Imports of goods (%)

4.7

3.6

-1/4

4 1/4

Prices, wages and purchasing power
 2011201220132014
Export price goods
(excluding energy) (%)

2.1

0.8

-1/4

1/2

Price competitiveness (%)

-0.2

2.4

1/2

3/4

Consumer prices (CPI) (%)

2.3

2.5

2 3/4

2

Consumer prices
(harmonised, HICP) (%)

2.5

2.8

3

1 3/4

Price of gross
domestic product (%)

1.1

1.3

1 3/4

1 1/2

Price of national
expenditure (%)

0.7

1.8

2

1 3/4

Contractual wages
market sector (%)

1.4

1.6

1 1/2

1 1/2

Compensation per full-time
employee market sector (%)

1.9

1.8

1 3/4

2

Gross wage Jones family
(in euro's)

33500

33000

32500

33000

Purchasing power (Jones,
one-income household) (%)

-1.2

-2.5

-1 3/4

-1 1/4

Purchasing power
(median, all households) (%)

-1.0

-2.5

-1 1/4

0

Labour market (international definition 'labour force', unless stated differently)
 2011201220132014
Population (x 1000 pers.)

16693

16754

16795

16840

Labour force (15-74)
(x 1000 pers.)

8746

8878

8950

9005

Employed labour force
(15-74) (x 1000 pers.)

8357

8409

8335

8330

Unemployment
(x 1000 pers.)

389

469

615

670

Employed Persons
(15-74) (%)

0.7

-0.2

-3/4

0

Labour force
(15-74) (%)

0.0

1.5

3/4

1/2

Employed labour
force (15-74) (%)

0.0

0.6

-1

0

Unemployment rate
(% labour force)

4.4

5.3

7

7 1/2

Idem, national definition
(% labour force)

5.4

6.4

8 1/2

9 1/4

Market sector
 2011201220132014
Production (%)

1.4

-1.9

-1 3/4

1

Labour productivity (%)

1.0

-1.6

-3/4

1 3/4

Employment
 (labour years) (%)

0.5

-0.2

-1

-3/4

Price gross value added (%)

0.3

1.8

3/4

1 3/4

Real labour costs (%)

1.6

0.0

3/4

1/4

Labour share in
enterprise income
 (level in %)

79.0

80.5

82

80 3/4

General government
 2011201220132014
General government financial
balance (% GDP)

-4.3

-4.1

-3

-3.9

Gross debt general
government (% GDP)

65.7

71.3

74.5

76.3

Taxes and social security
contributions (% GDP)

38.6

39.0

39.9

40.2

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