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Preliminary table Main Economic Indicators (February 2011)

This document is in dutch only!

Short-term forecast, 22 February 2011

Main Economic Indicators of the upcoming Central Economic Plan 2011, to be published on the 22nd of March 2011.

The table 'Main economic indicators'

International items
 2009201020112012
Relevant world trade volume
(%)

-13.7

11.3

6 1/4

5

Import price goods (%)

-7.5

6.9

4 3/4

1/4

Export price competitors (%)

-2.9

5.3

3 1/4

3/4

Crude oil price (Brent, $)

61.5

79.5

97

97

Exchange rate (dollar per euro)

1.39

1.33

1.34

1.34

Long-term interest rate (%)

3.7

3.0

3 1/2

4

Demand and foreign trade (volume)
 2009201020112012
Gross domestic product
(GDP, economic growth) (%)

-3.9

1.7

1 3/4

1 1/2

Private consumption (%)

-2.5

0.4

3/4

1

Public demand (%)

4.0

1.0

0

-1/2

Gross fixed investment,
private non-residential (%)

-18.2

-1.6

4

4 3/4

Exports of goods
(non-energy) (%)

-9.2

12.7

7 1/4

5 1/4

of which domestically
produced (%)

-10.5

7.2

3

2 3/4

re-exports (%)

-7.9

17.7

10 3/4

7

Imports of goods (%)

-10.3

12.1

6 1/4

4 1/2

Prices, wages and purchasing power
 2009201020112012
Export price goods
(excluding energy) (%)

-5.3

4.1

1 1/2

0

Price competitiveness (%)

4.3

-0.8

0

1

Consumer prices (CPI) (%)

1.2

1.3

2

2

Contractual wages
market sector (%)

2.7

1.0

1 3/4

2 1/2

Compensation per full-time
employee market sector (%)

2.0

1.7

3 1/4

3 1/2

Purchasing power
(median, all households) (%)

1.8

-0.4

-3/4

-3/4

Labour market (international definition 'labour force', unless stated differently)
 2009201020112012
Labour force
(%)

0.7

-0.3

1/2

3/4

Employed labour
force (%)

0.1

-1.0

1

1

Unemployment
(x 1000 pers.)

327

390

365

355

Unemployment rate (%)

3.7

4.5

4 1/4

4

Idem, national
definition (%)

4.8

5.5

5

4 3/4

Market sector
 2009201020112012
Production (%)

-5.4

1.5

2 1/4

1 3/4

Labour productivity (%)

-3.1

3.5

1 1/2

1 1/4

Employment (labour years) (%)

-2.4

-1.9

3/4

1/2

Price gross value added (%)

2.6

1.7

1/4

3/4

Real labour costs (%)

-0.6

-0.1

3

2 3/4

Labour share in
enterprise income (level in %)

80.9

78.3

79

80

Profit share (of
domestic production)
(level in %)

7.7

9.4

10 1/2

10 1/4

General government
 2009201020112012
General government financial
balance (% GDP)

-5.4

-5.2

-3.6

-2.2

Gross debt general
government (% GDP)

60.8

64.3

66.1

66.5

Taxes and social security
contributions (% GDP)

38.2

38.6

39.0

39.6

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