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Table Main Economic Indicators 2012-2015 (4 March 2014)

This document is in dutch only!

Short-term forecast, 4 March 2014

Table Main Economic Indicators of the upcoming Central Economic Plan 2014 (up to and including 2015), to be published on 18 March 2014.

Read the accompanying press release.

Table 'Main economic indicators', 2012-2015  (4-3-2014)

International items
 2012201320142015
Relevant world trade volume
(%)

0.7

1.9

4 1/4

5

Export price competitors (%)

4.1

-1.6

-1

1/2

Crude oil price (Brent,
level in dollars
per barrel)

111.7

108.7

108

108

Exchange rate
(dollar per euro)

1.28

1.33

1.36

1.36

Long-term interest rate the
Netherlands (level in %)

1.9

2.0

2.3

2.6

GDP and demand (volume)
 2012201320142015
Gross domestic product
(GDP, economic growth, %)

-1.2

-0.8

3/4

1 1/4

Consumption households (%)

-1.6

-2.1

-1/4

1/2

Consumption general
government (%)

-0.7

-0.5

1/2

-1/4

Capital formation including
changes in stock (%)

-2.7

-7.1

4 3/4

3 1/4

Exports of goods and
services (%)

3.2

1.3

2 1/4

4 1/4

Imports of goods and
services (%)

3.3

-0.5

2 1/2

4

Prices, wages and purchasing power
 2012201320142015
Price gross domestic product
(%)

1.3

1.8

3/4

1 1/4

Export price domestically
produced goods
(non energy, %)

1.7

0.8

-1/2

1/2

Import price goods (%)

2.7

-1.7

-1 1/4

3/4

National consumer price
index (CPI, %)

2.5

2.5

1 1/2

1 1/2

Contractual wages
market sector (%)

1.6

1.5

1 1/2

2

Purchasing power, static,
median all households (%)

-2.3

-1.1

1 1/4

1/4

Labour market
 2012201320142015
Labour force (%)

1.5

0.8

-1/4

1/4

Active labour force (%)

0.6

-0.7

-1

1/2

Unemployment
(in thousands of persons)

469

602

650

635

Unemployed rate
(% of the labour force)

5.3

6.7

7 1/4

7

Market sector
 2012201320142015
Production (%)

-1.9

-1.5

1 3/4

2

Labour productivity
(labour years, %)

-1.7

-0.5

2

1 1/4

Employment (labour years, %)

-0.2

-1.1

-1/4

3/4

Compensation per employee
(%)

1.7

2.2

3 1/2

1 3/4

Labour share in enterprise
income (level in %)

80.5

81.1

81 1/2

80 1/2

Other items
 2012201320142015
Private savings (% of
disposable household income)

-2.0

-2.1

-1

-1/2

Current-account balance
(level in % GDP)

7.7

9.7

9 1/2

9 3/4

Public sector
 2012201320142015
General government financial
balance (% GDP)

-4.1

-2.9

-2.9

-2.1

Gross debt general
government (% GDP)

71.3

74.3

74.6

74.7

Taxes and social security
contributions (% GDP)

39.0

39.6

40.7

41.3

The revision of the National Accounts as previously announced by Statistics Netherlands has not been incorporated in this forecast. This will not be done until next September in the Macro Economic Outlook 2015.

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