1. Technological Uncertainty in Meeting Europe’s Decarbonisation Goals

    In response to the challenge of managing the risks of a changing climate, there is no single optimal transition path for energy technology due to uncertainty in several dimensions.

    CPB Discussion Paper 301 | 23‑01‑2015 | Download (PDF document, 3.3 MB)

  2. Does the teacher beat the test? The additional value of teacher assessment in predicting student ability

    This research investigates to what extent subjective teacher assessment of children’s ability adds to the use of test scores in the explanation of children’s outcomes in the transition from elementary to secondary school.

    CPB Discussion Paper 300 | 19‑01‑2015 | Download (PDF document, 2.2 MB)

  3. The Regional Impact of Bilateral Investment Treaties on Foreign Direct Investment

    We examine the impact of bilateral investment treaties (BITs) on bilateral FDI stocks using extensive data from 1985 until 2011.

    CPB Discussion Paper 298 | 16‑01‑2015 | Download (PDF document, 2 MB)

  4. House Price Shocks and Household Savings: evidence from Dutch administrative data

    We study the effect of house price shocks on the savings behaviour of Dutch homeowners over the period 2006-2011.

    CPB Discussion Paper 299 | 12‑01‑2015 | Download (PDF document, 2.1 MB)

  5. Potential benefits of tax inversion remain (huge): with the model and full country ranking

    The recent actions of the US Treasury to reign in corporate tax inversions leave their rationale largely intact: the potential tax benefits of inversions remain unchanged and huge.

    CPB Background Document  | 17‑12‑2014 | Download (PDF document, 2 MB)

  6. Welfare Benefits of Agglomeration and Worker Heterogeneity

    The direct impact of local public goods on welfare is relatively easy to measure from land rents. However, the indirect effects on home and job location, on land use, and on agglomeration benefits are hard to pin down.

    CPB Discussion Paper 289 | 15‑12‑2014 | Download (PDF document, 3.1 MB)

  7. Robust estimation of the VAT pass-through in the Netherlands

    This paper introduces the Common Correlated Effects Estimator into the study of Value-Added-Tax pass-through and compares this method to various other methodologies used in the literature.

    CPB Discussion Paper 297 | 8‑12‑2014 | Download (PDF document, 1.3 MB)

  8. The social discount rate under a stochastic A2 scenario

    Using a general equilibrium model in which both capital productivity and temperature are uncertain, we show that the social discount rate (SDR) will decline.

    CPB Discussion Paper 296 | 4‑12‑2014 | Download (PDF document, 1.7 MB)

  9. The effect of family disruption on children's personality development: Evidence from British longitudinal data

    This research documents the effects of different forms of family disruptions - measured by separation, divorce and death - on personality development of British children included in the 1970 British Cohort Study.

    CPB Discussion Paper 295 | 2‑12‑2014 | Download (PDF document, 2.5 MB)

  10. MICSIM: A behavioural microsimulation model for the analysis of tax-benefit reform in the Netherlands

    In this paper, we present MICSIM. MICSIM is a behavioural microsimulation model for the analysis of structural labour-supply effects.

    CPB Background Document  | 27‑11‑2014 | Download (PDF document, 4.6 MB)

Printed copies

All CPB publications on the CPB website can be downloaded, free of charge. If a CPB publication also appeared in print and has been published by CPB,  you can request a free copy (subject to availability).The complete Central Economic Plan and the complete Macro Economic Outlook (both in Dutch) may, against payment, be ordered at Sdu Publishers. To preserve the environment and to relieve our budget these editions are limited.


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CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis is an institute that makes economic policy analysis.

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