Kopafbeelding publicaties CPB

Publications

Forecasting long-term interest rates

The long-term interest rate in the Euro area is an important exogenous input in CPB macro-econometric models to project the world economy and the Dutch economy, so it is important to have a reliable projection for it. However, there were concerns about the CPB practice of forecasting the long-term interest rate, especially over the inconsistency of long-term interest rate projections in the short and medium term. Therefore, this document compares the old CPB practice with several alternative forecasting methods for long-term interest rates, and evaluates these methods.

CPB Background Document | 22 March 2018

26 pages | pdf document, 1.3 MB

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Cost-benefit analysis for flood risk management and water governance in the Netherlands: an overview of one century

The Netherlands is a global reference for flood risk management. This reputation is based on a mix of world-class civil engineering projects and innovative concepts of water governance. For more than a century, cost-benefit analysis has been an important tool for both flood risk management as well as water governance in the Netherlands. It has helped to select the most effective and efficient flood risk projects and to coordinate and reconcile the interests of various policy areas, levels of government and private stakeholders.

CPB Background Document | 22 August 2017

52 pages | pdf document, 1.7 MB

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Valuation of CO2 emissions in CBA: implications of the scenario study Welfare, Prosperity and the Human Environment

The scenario study Welfare, Prosperity and the Human Environment (WLO ) forecasts long-term developments on four topics, climate being one of them. The study’s climate scenarios have been constructed taking into account various ways of international collaboration on the climate issue around the world. The WLO climate scenarios are characterised by a CO2 emission budget for the rest of the century and an associated CO2 emission reduction target.

CPB Background Document | 6 December 2016

18 pages | pdf document, 1.6 MB

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Dependence on External Finance and SME Survival

This CPB Background Document addresses whether, in the aftermath of the financial crisis, default probabilities of firms that depend more on external finance were affected more negatively than default probabilities of less dependent firms.

CPB Background Document | 26 July 2016

pdf document, 858 KB

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Trade effects of Brexit for the Netherlands

On June 23th the United Kingdom (UK) will hold a referendum on its European Union’s (EU) membership. Brexit will occur in the event of a leave vote and this will have far-reaching consequences.

CPB Background Document | 9 June 2016

32 pages | pdf document, 1.3 MB

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Determinants of long-term interest rates

The nominal long-term interest rate decreased in the past decades due to the decrease in (expected) inflation and in potential growth and due to changes in the age structure of the population.

CPB Background Document | 27 May 2016

34 pages | pdf document, 1.9 MB

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Stay rates of foreign PhD graduates in the Netherlands

The effects of foreign PhD graduates on the Dutch economy as a whole and on public finances in particular depends on whether and for how long foreigners stay in the country after receiving their PhD degree from a Dutch university.

CPB Background Document | 24 September 2015

34 pages | pdf document, 1.8 MB

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