Kopafbeelding publicaties CPB

Publications

Central Economic Plan (CEP) 2018

The Dutch economy is gathering steam. The economic boom is the result of a favourable international economy, low interest rates, expansive budgetary policy and a persistently strong housing market. These last two factors distinguish the Netherlands from other countries. Positive domestic dynamics between increasing employment, higher disposable income levels, higher consumption and more investments will lead to a 3.2% economic growth in 2018 and 2.7% in 2019. Over the 2017–2019 period, the Dutch economy is projected to outperform that of the eurozone by 0.6 percentage points, in each of those years.

CEP 2018 | 22 March 2018

20 pages | pdf document, 3.2 MB

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First Communication National Productivity Board

Productivity growth is on the decline, in the OECD countries. In the Netherlands, structural growth is also slowing down. On the basis of this fact, the European Commission proposed that each EU Member State would install a national productivity board (NPB). The Council of the European Union has since adopted this proposal.

CPB Communication | 22 March 2018

6 pages | pdf document, 1 MB

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Forecasting long-term interest rates

The long-term interest rate in the Euro area is an important exogenous input in CPB macro-econometric models to project the world economy and the Dutch economy, so it is important to have a reliable projection for it. However, there were concerns about the CPB practice of forecasting the long-term interest rate, especially over the inconsistency of long-term interest rate projections in the short and medium term. Therefore, this document compares the old CPB practice with several alternative forecasting methods for long-term interest rates, and evaluates these methods.

CPB Background Document | 22 March 2018

26 pages | pdf document, 1.3 MB

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Forecast Central Economic Plan 2018

The Dutch economy is gathering steam. The economic boom is the result of a favourable international economy, low interest rates, expansive budgetary policy and a persistently strong housing market. These last two factors distinguish the Netherlands from other countries. Positive domestic dynamics between increasing employment, higher disposable income levels, higher consumption and more investments will lead to a 3.2% economic growth in 2018 and 2.7% in 2019. Over the 2017–2019 period, the Dutch economy is projected to outperform that of the eurozone by 0.6 percentage points, in each of those years. 

CPB Policy Brief 2018/06 | 6 March 2018

20 pages | pdf document, 3.2 MB

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Central Economic Plan (CEP) 2017

Global economic growth is expected to accelerate this year and also slightly in the year thereafter; particularly due to growth increases in emerging economies.

CEP 2017 | 24 March 2017

14 pages | pdf document, 717.5 KB

ISBN 978-90-5833-764-1 | Go to publication

Negative home equity and job mobility

We investigate the impact of negative home equity on job mobility. Panel fixed effects estimation is carried out by making use of Dutch administrative panel in the period 2006-2011.

CPB Discussion Paper 345 | 16 March 2017

40 pages | pdf document, 1.6 MB

ISBN 978-90-5833-767-2 | Go to publication

Presentation: About CPB

Presentation used by Paul Besseling during a 'Seminar on National Productivity Boards', January 20, 2017, Riga, Latvia.

CPB Presentation | 31 January 2017

23 pages | pdf document, 1 MB

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Macro Economic Outlook (MEV) 2017

In this publication CPB presents its analyses and projections of both the Dutch and worldwide economy in 2016 and 2017.

MEV 2017 | 20 September 2016

102 pages | pdf document, 1.9 MB

ISBN 978-90-1239-863-3 | Go to publication

Central Economic Plan (CEP) 2016

The moderate rate of economic recovery is continuing, on a global level, with a 2.9% growth in the world economy projected for this year, and 3.2% for the next.

CEP 2016 | 21 March 2016

pdf document, 1.9 MB

ISBN 978-90-1239-758-2 | Go to publication

Credit Supply Shocks in the Netherlands

This study looks at the effects of credit supply shocks in the Netherlands and provides estimates of how important credit supply disturbances have been for explaining the recent disappointing economic growth.

CPB Discussion Paper 320 | 12 January 2016

44 pages | pdf document, 900.5 KB

ISBN 978-90-5833-713-9 | Go to publication

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