Models
CPB uses different models for making forecasts and analyses. Below, a list of all the models CPB uses at this moment.
- Macro-economic models
- Models on taxes, social security and labour market
- Models on ageing and (sustainable) government finance
- Models on purchasing power and labour costs
- Cost-benefit analyses
- Statistical models
Macro-economic models
SAFFIER II
Short- and medium-term forecasts and analyses for the Dutch economy.
Worldscan
International long-term scenarios, e.g. about European integration or about climate policy.
Nigem
Nigem is a transparent, peer reviewed quarterly global econometric model based on real economic data. Over 60 countries and regions modelled.
Models on taxes, social security and labour market
MIMIC
Long-term analysis of policy with respect to taxes, social security and labour market.
MIMOSI
Short-term and medium-term forecasts and analysis of the revenues and expenditures for each social security fund.
Short-term and medium-term forecasts and analysis of the wage and income tax.
Actuaris
Analysis of the long-term developments in pension premiums and benefits.
TAXUS
Short-term and medium-term forecasts of taxes other than wage and income tax.
Accounting scheme labour supply
Short-term and medium-term forecasts of labour supply.
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Models on ageing and (sustainable) government finance
Generational accounting
Bookkeeping calculations of government revenues and expenditures in the long run.
Bookkeeping calculations of the net benefits for future generations.
Bookkeeping calculations of sustainable government finance (tax gap).
GAMMA
Long-term analysis of ageing and sustainable government finance.
Government account
Detailed bookkeeping for overall government finance in the short term and yhe medium term.
Forecasting of government revenues and expenditures other than taxes, social security contributions and social benefits.
Models on purchasing power and labour costs
MIMOSI
Calculation of the changes in the real disposable income of households (purchasing power), the average labour costs, the wedge and replacement rates.
Accounting scheme
Bookkeeping calculation over the full life cycle of the distribution of earned incomes, the redistribution by government and the resulting distribution of welfare.
Lifetime redistribution
Bookkeeping calculation of the marginal tax burden over de full life cycle.
Cost-benefit analyses
Cost-benefit analysis
A cost-benefit analysis is a systematic method to evaluate the costs and benefits of a project for a society as a whole.
Statistical models
Business-cycle indicator
Signalling of changes in the business cycle on the basis of leading indicators.