Publications

March 6, 2018

Forecast Central Economic Plan 2018

The Dutch economy is gathering steam. The economic boom is the result of a favourable international economy, low interest rates, expansive budgetary policy and a persistently strong housing market. These last two factors distinguish the Netherlands from other countries. Positive domestic dynamics between increasing employment, higher disposable income levels, higher consumption and more investments will lead to a 3.2% economic growth in 2018 and 2.7% in 2019. Over the 2017–2019 period, the Dutch economy is projected to outperform that of the eurozone by 0.6 percentage points, in each of those years. 

March 6, 2018

Preliminary Forecast March 2018 (cCEP 2018)

The Dutch economy is gathering steam. With growth figures of 3.2% (this year) and 2.7% (in 2019), the Dutch economy will outperform the eurozone by on average 0.6 percentage point, per year....

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December 20, 2017

Forecast December 2017

Economic growth is projected to continue in 2018. GDP will increase by more than 3%, as it did in 2017. These are the highest growth percentages since 2007. Therefore, by next year, we can speak of an economic boom....

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October 10, 2017

Analysis economic and budgetary effects of the financial appendix to the Coalition Agreement

This analysis is based on the measures in the financial appendix to the Coalition Agreement, as submitted to CPB on 29 September. Chapter 10 lists the measures included in the analysis.

February 16, 2017

Charted Choices 2018-2021

CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis has published the results of its assessment of the election manifestos. The report, Charted Choices 2018-2021, contains an analysis of the financial-economic choices made by 11 Dutch political parties. Differences between them proved to be large; both in the types of measures chosen by the various parties and in the resulting effects.

April 22, 2016

The Dutch medium-term outlook and the European budgetary rules

This Backgrounddocument makes available in English work recently published in Dutch on structural budget balances in a medium-term framework.

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November 11, 2015

An update of Blanchard’s and Leigh’s estimates in Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers

Olivier Blanchard’s and Daniel Leigh’s work on growth forecast errors and fiscal multipliers in 2009-2011 has been highly influential.

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April 17, 2015

Presentation 'CPB’s role in the Dutch medium-term budgetary framework'

Presentation used by Wim Suyker during the 7th Annual meeting of OECD Parliamentary budget officials & independent fiscal institutions in Vienna.

October 21, 2014

Structural budget balance: a love at first sight turned sour

The structural budget balance, which corrects the nominal government budget balance for one-offs and business cycle effects, is used to assess underlying fiscal policy effort.

January 22, 2014

Presentation: Macroeconomic developments in the Netherlands

Presentation used by Wim Suyker during a conference at the Dutch embassy in London, on January 22, 2014.