We re-estimate the e ffects of systemic banking crises in industrialised countries reported by Cerra and Saxena with a model that includes transitory business cycle shocks.
CPB Discussion Paper 339 | 27 December 2016
10 pages | pdf document, 1.4 MB
ISBN 978-90-5833-754-2 | Go to publication
This paper analyses the eff ect of additional study choice activities on the probability that subscribers withdraw from the study field of their preference before the study actually commences, as well as on the study performance of students who actually start with the study.
CPB Discussion Paper 338 | 14 December 2016
20 pages | pdf document, 1.3 MB
The scenario study Welfare, Prosperity and the Human Environment (WLO ) forecasts long-term developments on four topics, climate being one of them. The study’s climate scenarios have been constructed taking into account various ways of international collaboration on the climate issue around the world. The WLO climate scenarios are characterised by a CO2 emission budget for the rest of the century and an associated CO2 emission reduction target.
CPB Background Document | 6 December 2016
18 pages | pdf document, 1.6 MB
Flexible employment constitutes a relatively large and increasing share of the labour market in many countries. In this study, we analyse the extent to which the growth in flexible employment can be related to global economic trends and country-specific institutions.
CPB Background Document | 17 November 2016
26 pages | pdf document, 1.6 MB
We study the elasticity of taxable labour income in the Netherlands. We use a large and rich data set, including both financial and demographic variables,for the period 1999-2005.
CPB Discussion Paper 337 | 26 October 2016
38 pages | pdf document, 2.8 MB
ISBN 978-90-5833-745-0 | Go to publication
This paper presents empirical evidence on taxpayers' responsiveness to taxation by estimating the compensated elasticity of taxable income with respect to the net-of-tax rate in the Netherlands.
CPB Discussion Paper 336 | 29 September 2016
36 pages | pdf document, 2 MB
ISBN 978-90-5833-743-6 | Go to publication
In this publication CPB presents its analyses and projections of both the Dutch and worldwide economy in 2016 and 2017.
MEV 2017 | 20 September 2016
102 pages | pdf document, 1.9 MB
ISBN 978-90-1239-863-3 | Go to publication
For economic forecasting it is important to know how the real economy responds to major events such as the fall of the Soviet Union, the Greek debt crisis, the recent terrorism attacks in Europe, and the Brexit.
CPB Discussion Paper 335 | 9 September 2016
34 pages | pdf document, 1.6 MB
ISBN 978-90-5833-742-9 | Go to publication
Many countries require firms to pay severance pay to workers displaced in a mass layoff .Displaced workers often also receive some form of job search assistance.
CPB Discussion Paper 334 | 25 August 2016
32 pages | pdf document, 1.5 MB
ISBN 978-90-5833-741-2 | Go to publication
Productivity is the key driver of long-run living standards. However, in recent years productivity growth has been low across the developed world.
CPB Background Document | 17 August 2016
38 pages | pdf document, 1.9 MB
If two partners smoke, their quit behavior may be related through correlation in unobserved individual characteristics and common external shocks.
CPB Discussion Paper 333 | 10 August 2016
40 pages | pdf document, 1.6 MB
ISBN 978-90-5833-740-5 | Go to publication
This CPB Background Document addresses whether, in the aftermath of the financial crisis, default probabilities of firms that depend more on external finance were affected more negatively than default probabilities of less dependent firms.
CPB Background Document | 26 July 2016
pdf document, 858 KB
The economic effects of TTIP are analysed with WorldScan. TTIP is expected to have a positive effect on trade between the EU and the US and on investment and economic growth in both areas. Hence, the Netherlands will benefit with an increase in GDP of 1.7% in 2030.
CPB Discussion Paper 331 | 14 July 2016
30 pages | pdf document, 460.3 KB
ISBN 978-90-5833-738-2 | Go to publication
Big data technologies enhance the storage, processing, and analysis of large data sets and can be applied economy-wide. Despite this potential, only one percent of big data patents come from Europe.
CPB Discussion Paper 330 | 7 July 2016
28 pages | pdf document, 1.9 MB
ISBN 978-90-5833-737-5 | Go to publication
This cyber security risk assessment (CSRA) in intended to provide insight into the underlying causes, consequences and magnitude of cyber risks; thus, helping policymakers and businesses to understand and prioritise those risks.
CPB Communication | 6 July 2016
64 pages | pdf document, 2.1 MB
In the Netherlands, major tax reform proposals sometimes are adopted and converted into policy, but often they are not. This CPB Policy Brief focuses on why this is so.
CPB Policy Brief 2016/08 | 30 June 2016
22 pages | pdf document, 3.2 MB
ISBN 978-90-5833-735-1 | Go to publication
The CPB World Trade Monitor (WTM) is an instrument for bringing together, aggregating, and summarizing worldwide monthly data on international trade and industrial production.
CPB Background Document | 23 June 2016
40 pages | pdf document, 1.7 MB
By 2030, the costs for the Netherlands could run up to 1.2% of GDP, or 10 billion euros.
CPB Policy Brief 2016/07 | 9 June 2016
pdf document, 5.9 MB
ISBN 978-90-5833-733-7 | Go to publication
On June 23th the United Kingdom (UK) will hold a referendum on its European Union’s (EU) membership. Brexit will occur in the event of a leave vote and this will have far-reaching consequences.
CPB Background Document | 9 June 2016
32 pages | pdf document, 1.3 MB
The nominal long-term interest rate decreased in the past decades due to the decrease in (expected) inflation and in potential growth and due to changes in the age structure of the population.
CPB Background Document | 27 May 2016
34 pages | pdf document, 1.9 MB
We use Google searches of the word “mortgage” to explain housing transactions in the Netherlands in the period from 2004 until 2015.
CPB Discussion Paper 325 | 11 May 2016
12 pages | pdf document, 1.3 MB
ISBN 978-90-5833-720-7 | Go to publication
In this paper we review, compare and assess the CGE- and SG-based studies on TTIP in order to draw conclusions on the expected economic effects of TTIP.
CPB Background Document | 10 May 2016
56 pages | pdf document, 2.8 MB
This CPB Background Document estimates the effect of mandatory extensions of industry-level collective labour agreements (CLA’s) on wages using a large linked employer-employee database.
CPB Background Document | 2 May 2016
26 pages | pdf document, 1.5 MB
This Backgrounddocument makes available in English work recently published in Dutch on structural budget balances in a medium-term framework.
CPB Background Document | 22 April 2016
12 pages | pdf document, 1.1 MB
We analyze the effectiveness of the early childhood programme (ECP) in the Netherlands. The programme is designed for 2.5 to 4 year olds from disadvantaged backgrounds.
CPB Discussion Paper 328 | 29 March 2016
32 pages | pdf document, 1.6 MB
ISBN 978-90-5833-726-9 | Go to publication
