Publications

March 16, 2015

Central Economic Plan (CEP) 2015

For this year and the next, economic growth is projected to go up to 1.7% and 1.8%, respectively.

March 16, 2015

Assessment of the technical assumptions on exchange rates, oil prices and interest rates (CEP2015)

This CPB Background Document presents an assessment of the technical assumptions on the projections (short: projections) of four variables.

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March 10, 2015

Estimating the Impact of Forced Sales on House Prices

We study the price effects of forced sales on the Dutch housing market. A forced sale may result in a lower transaction price because of e.g. suboptimal incentives for revenue maximization.

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February 26, 2015

Mismatch on the Dutch labour market in the Great Recession

The Great Recession has caused unemployment in the Netherlands to rise from 3.1% in 2008 to over 7% at the beginning of 2014. Structural imbalances caused by labour mismatch could be one of the explanations underlying this high rate.

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February 24, 2015

Technical background document for BVAR models used at CPB

At CPB, we have developed two Bayesian vector autoregressive (VAR) models, one for the Dutch economy and one for the world trade.

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February 5, 2015

Fiscal policy and CO2 emissions of new passenger cars in the EU

To what extent have national fiscal policies contributed to the decarbonisation of newly sold passenger cars?

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January 23, 2015

Technological Uncertainty in Meeting Europe’s Decarbonisation Goals

In response to the challenge of managing the risks of a changing climate, there is no single optimal transition path for energy technology due to uncertainty in several dimensions.

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January 19, 2015

Does the teacher beat the test? The additional value of teacher assessment in predicting student ability

This research investigates to what extent subjective teacher assessment of children’s ability adds to the use of test scores in the explanation of children’s outcomes in the transition from elementary to secondary school.

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January 16, 2015

The Regional Impact of Bilateral Investment Treaties on Foreign Direct Investment

We examine the impact of bilateral investment treaties (BITs) on bilateral FDI stocks using extensive data from 1985 until 2011.

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January 12, 2015

House Price Shocks and Household Savings: evidence from Dutch administrative data

We study the effect of house price shocks on the savings behaviour of Dutch homeowners over the period 2006-2011.

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