December 20, 2017

Forecast December 2017

Economic growth is projected to continue in 2018. GDP will increase by more than 3%, as it did in 2017. These are the highest growth percentages since 2007. Therefore, by next year, we can speak of an economic boom....

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December 7, 2017

Cost-Sharing Design Matters: A Comparison of the Rebate and Deductible in Healthcare

Since 2006, the Dutch population has faced two different cost-sharing schemes in health insurance for curative care: a mandatory rebate of 255 euros in 2006 and 2007, and since 2008 a mandatory deductible. Using administrative data for the entire Dutch population, we compare the effect of both cost-sharing schemes on healthcare consumption between 2006 and 2013.

December 4, 2017

CPB’s role in the Dutch budgetary process

Presentation used by Wim Suyker at the 'Masterclass public finance Erasmus University – Algemene Rekenkamer', November 28, 2017.

November 22, 2017

Cheaper and More Haircuts After VAT Cut? Evidence From the Netherlands

We study the effect of the reduction in the VAT rate on services by hairdressers from 17.5 to 6 percent in the Netherlands in January 2000.

November 8, 2017

Employment Polarization in local labor markets: the Dutch case

Recent literature documents the pervasiveness of job polarization in the labor markets of the developed world. However, relatively little is known about polarization on a sub-national level.

November 3, 2017

Co-payments in long-term home care: do they affect the use of care?

We study the effect of a policy change in co-payments on the use of long-term home care in The Netherlands. The change increased co-payments for persons with considerable household financial assets. For identification we apply a difference-in-difference analysis with matched treatment and control groups.

October 12, 2017

Premium levels and demand response in health insurance: relative thinking and zero-price effects

In health care systems with a competitive health insurance market, governments or other sponsors (e.g. employers) often subsidize premiums to encourage enrolment. These subsidies are typically independent of plan choice leaving the absolute premium differences in place so as not to distort consumer choice of plan.

October 11, 2017

Preventing NEETs During the Great Recession: The Effects of a Mandatory Activation Program for Young Welfare Recipients

We study the impact of a mandatory activation program for young welfare recipients in the Netherlands. Introduced at the end of 2009, the goal of the program was to prevent so-called NEETs (individuals not in employment, education or training).

October 10, 2017

Analysis economic and budgetary effects of the financial appendix to the Coalition Agreement

This analysis is based on the measures in the financial appendix to the Coalition Agreement, as submitted to CPB on 29 September. Chapter 10 lists the measures included in the analysis.

October 10, 2017

Distributionally Weighted Cost-Benefit Analysis: From Theory to Practice

In CBA practices around the world, benefits are valued regardless of to whom they accrue. This disregards basic economic principles, like declining marginal utility of income, or inequality aversion. This paper argues that if redistribution matters, net benefits must be aggregated using a distributionally weighted CBA.