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We compare the accuracy of our published GDP growth forecasts from our large macro model, SAFFIER, to those produced by VAR based models using both classical and Bayesian estimation techniques. →

The composition of economic growth can be analysed in two different ways. In the 'traditional method' for the decomposition of GDP growth, total imports are deducted from exports. →

Since late 2004, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis has been using the macro-econometric model SAFFIER for its short-term and medium-term analyses. →

This report analyses the accuracy of CPB’s short-term forecasts of the Dutch economy in the period 1971-2005. →

Voor analyses en ramingen op korte en middellange termijn maakt het CPB sinds eind 2004 gebruik van het macro-econometrische model Saffier. →

This report analyses the accuracy of CPB's short-term forecasts of the Dutch economy in the period 1971-2004. →

This memorandum unveils the differences between the 'Dutch method' and the 'international method' to determine the contributions of expenditure categories to economic growth. →

This document is in Dutch, there is no English translation. →

This document is in Dutch, there is no English translation. →

When will the business cycle turn? →