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March 22, 2018

Forecasting long-term interest rates

The long-term interest rate in the Euro area is an important exogenous input in CPB macro-econometric models to project the world economy and the Dutch economy, so it is important to have a reliable projection for it. However, there were concerns about the CPB practice of forecasting the long-term interest rate, especially over the inconsistency of long-term interest rate projections in the short and medium term. Therefore, this document compares the old CPB practice with several alternative forecasting methods for long-term interest rates, and evaluates these methods.

March 22, 2018

Forecasting long-term interest rates

The long-term interest rate in the Euro area is an important exogenous input in CPB macro-econometric models to project the world economy and the Dutch economy, so it is important to have a reliable projection for it. However, there were concerns about the CPB practice of forecasting the long-term interest rate, especially over the inconsistency of long-term interest rate projections in the short and medium term. Therefore, this document compares the old CPB practice with several alternative forecasting methods for long-term interest rates, and evaluates these methods.

February 6, 2018

The effects of unconventional monetary policy in the euro area

How effective are unconventional monetary policies? Through which mechanisms do they work? This discussion paper contains a detailed presentation of the new scientific evidence we reported in the policy brief, and adds to the relatively scarce literature in this field.

February 6, 2018

The effects of unconventional monetary policy in the euro area

How effective are unconventional monetary policies? Through which mechanisms do they work? This discussion paper contains a detailed presentation of the new scientific evidence we reported in the policy brief, and adds to the relatively scarce literature in this field.

June 6, 2017

CPB Risicorapportage Financiële Markten 2017

Rapportage voor de Tweede Kamer over de internationale en nationale macro-economische ontwikkelingen in samenhang met ontwikkelingen in de financiële sector.

June 6, 2017

CPB Risicorapportage Financiële Markten 2017

Rapportage voor de Tweede Kamer over de internationale en nationale macro-economische ontwikkelingen in samenhang met ontwikkelingen in de financiële sector.

June 6, 2017

CPB Risicorapportage Financiële Markten 2017

Rapportage voor de Tweede Kamer over de internationale en nationale macro-economische ontwikkelingen in samenhang met ontwikkelingen in de financiële sector.