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August 17, 2020

August projections 2020-2021

Renewed growth in Dutch economy from third quarter onwards, but downturn will reverberate.

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August 17, 2020

Renewed growth in Dutch economy from third quarter onwards, but downturn will reverberate

In the baseline projections, which assume no large-scale new physical contact restrictions are needed, the economy will shrink by 5% in 2020, followed by 3% growth in 2021. Unemployment will rise up to 7% in 2021....

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August 11, 2020

Forecasting wage growth and price inflation in the Netherlands with a BVAR model

This background document describes a Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR) model to support the CPB short-term forecasts of wage growth and price...

August 11, 2020

Forecasting wage growth and price inflation in the Netherlands with a BVAR model

This background document describes a Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR) model to support the CPB short-term forecasts of wage growth and price...

July 2, 2020

De incidentele loongroei onder de loep: samenstellingseffecten en loondynamiek

Instroom nieuwe werknemers drukt de loongroei in recente jaren.

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July 2, 2020

Instroom nieuwe werknemers drukt de loongroei in recente jaren

De brutolonen zijn tussen 2014 en 2018 minder hard gestegen dan de cao-lonen. De groei van het incidentele loon was dus negatief. Dit is opmerkelijk in een periode van toenemende krapte op de arbeidsmarkt....

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June 17, 2020

Certificering budgettaire raming Wet excessief lenen bij eigen vennootschap

Deze CPB Notitie certificeert de raming van de opbrengst van de rekening-courantmaatregel in box 2 van de inkomstenbelasting. Het CPB acht de raming van de budgettaire effecten van de maatregel redelijk en neutraal....

June 17, 2020

Certificering budgettaire raming Wet excessief lenen bij eigen vennootschap

Deze CPB Notitie certificeert de raming van de opbrengst van de rekening-courantmaatregel in box 2 van de inkomstenbelasting. Het CPB acht de raming van de budgettaire effecten van de maatregel redelijk en neutraal....

June 16, 2020

June forecast 2020

Unprecedented 6% decrease in GDP in 2020, followed by an increase of 3% next year. Unemployment would double, but, although public finances would be severely impacted, they would not enter the danger zone. Great uncertainty.

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