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September 15, 2020

Fan Charts September 2020

The figures present fan charts around the MEV 2021 point forecasts for GDP growth, HICP inflation, unemployment and general government financial...

September 15, 2020

Projections September 2020 (MEV 2021), figures

In the baseline projections, which assume no large-scale new physical contact restrictions will be needed, the economy shrinks by 5% in 2020, followed by over 3% growth in 2021. Unemployment will rise to 6% in 2021....

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September 15, 2020

Actualisatie MLT-raming september 2020, cijfers

De corona-uitbraak leidt tot een lager bbp-niveau in 2025 dan in de verkenning van maart. Het bbp-volume in 2025 is in de basisverkenning 4% neerwaarts herzien ten opzichte van die in maart; in het dieperdalscenario is...

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August 17, 2020

August projections 2020-2021

Renewed growth in Dutch economy from third quarter onwards, but downturn will reverberate.

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August 11, 2020

Forecasting wage growth and price inflation in the Netherlands with a BVAR model

This background document describes a Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR) model to support the CPB short-term forecasts of wage growth and price...

June 17, 2020

Certificering budgettaire raming Wet excessief lenen bij eigen vennootschap

Deze CPB Notitie certificeert de raming van de opbrengst van de rekening-courantmaatregel in box 2 van de inkomstenbelasting. Het CPB acht de raming van de budgettaire effecten van de maatregel redelijk en neutraal....

June 16, 2020

June forecast 2020

Unprecedented 6% decrease in GDP in 2020, followed by an increase of 3% next year. Unemployment would double, but, although public finances would be severely impacted, they would not enter the danger zone. Great uncertainty.

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June 16, 2020

Forecast June 2020, figures

Social distancing measures to counter the pandemic, in the Netherlands, have led to an unprecedented decline in economic activity of between 10% and 15%. Because of the considerable uncertainty about the course of the...

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June 16, 2020

Unprecedented 6% decrease in GDP in 2020, amid great uncertainty

Social distancing measures to counter the pandemic, in the Netherlands, have led to an unprecedented decline in economic activity of between 10% and 15%. Because of the considerable uncertainty about the course of the...

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March 26, 2020

Corona crisis scenarios

Recession unavoidable, increase in government debt bearable.

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