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Forecast March 2020 (CEP 2020 and MLT), figures
FigureAssuming limited effects of the corona virus, the Dutch economy will grow steady by 1.4% in 2020 and 1.6% in 2021. Given the exceptionally low growth in world trade and the slight growth in the countries surrounding the Netherlands, the Dutch economy is doing relatively well. In the medium term, growth will also remain around 1.5% per annum. This percentage is considerably higher than reported in CPB's medium-term outlook (MLT) last November. The corrections are almost entirely due to the higher population forecast by Statistics Netherlands. The projections of government finances, for the coming cabinet period, will improve as a result of higher growth levels, which in turn will lead to a smaller sustainability gap of 0.8%. →
Doorrekening stelselherziening socialezekerheids- en belastingstelsel FvD
Publication (in Dutch only)Publicatie complete Centraal Economisch Plan (CEP) 2020
Event (in Dutch only)Dit op 17 maart gepubliceerde complete CEP 2020 is de uitwerking van de op 3 maart gepubliceerde samenvatting. Het bevat geen nieuwe cijfers. Medio juni 2020 publiceert het CPB een geactualiseerde raming voor 2020 en 2021. De volledige tekst van deze publicatie (pdf) en de digitale versie van alle bijlagen zijn vanaf dinsdag 17 maart 2020 om 7:00 uur te downloaden. →
Publicatie Centraal Economisch Plan 2020 (hoofdstuk 1, beknopte update MLT en kerngegevenstabel)
Event (in Dutch only)Forecast December 2019, figures
FigureEconomic growth is slowing down in the Netherlands due to the decline in global growth and, to a lesser extent, the issues around nitrogen and PFASs. Unemployment reached its lowest point in 2019, but will also remain exceptionally low in 2020. Labour market shortages are leading to an increase in contract wages. Inflation will slow down next year, as the impact of last year's increase in indirect taxes fades away. The budget surplus is projected to decline as a result of expansionary policies and weaker growth, but the reduction is attenuated by significant underinvestment. →
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