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June 8, 2017

Back to normal monetary policy

Publication

The question is no longer if, but when and how unconventional monetary policy will be phased out. The undoing of the unconventional policies will affect European economies, just as their build up stimulated the euro area economy.

March 9, 2017

Productivity Slowdown - Evidence for the Netherlands

Publication

This paper analyses how The Netherlands compares to other countries in terms of the productivity slowdown. It also includes a comparison of different sectors and tests possible explanatory variables.

January 31, 2017

VAT and Agriculture: Lessons from Europe

Publication

Little has been written about the treatment of agriculture under the value added tax (VAT). This article attempts to fill the void by surveying and evaluating the situation in the Member States of the European Union (EU) and some other countries.

December 27, 2016

Accounting for the Business Cycle Reduces the Estimated Losses from Systemic Banking Crises

Publication

We re-estimate the e ffects of systemic banking crises in industrialised countries reported by Cerra and Saxena with a model that includes transitory business cycle shocks.

September 9, 2016

The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks: Continental Europe versus the Anglo-Saxon World

Publication

For economic forecasting it is important to know how the real economy responds to major events such as the fall of the Soviet Union, the Greek debt crisis, the recent terrorism attacks in Europe, and the Brexit.

August 17, 2016

Evidence on Dutch macroeconomic and sectoral productivity performance: Some stylised facts

Publication

Productivity is the key driver of long-run living standards. However, in recent years productivity growth has been low across the developed world.

July 14, 2016

Potential economic effects of TTIP for the Netherlands

Publication

The economic effects of TTIP are analysed with WorldScan. TTIP is expected to have a positive effect on trade between the EU and the US and on investment and economic growth in both areas. Hence, the Netherlands will benefit with an increase in GDP of 1.7% in 2030.

June 23, 2016

The CPB World Trade Monitor: technical description

Publication

The CPB World Trade Monitor (WTM) is an instrument for bringing together, aggregating, and summarizing worldwide monthly data on international trade and industrial production.

June 9, 2016

Brexit costs for the Netherlands arise from reduced trade

Publication

By 2030, the costs for the Netherlands could run up to 1.2% of GDP, or 10 billion euros.

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June 9, 2016

Trade effects of Brexit for the Netherlands

Publication

On June 23th the United Kingdom (UK) will hold a referendum on its European Union’s (EU) membership. Brexit will occur in the event of a leave vote and this will have far-reaching consequences.