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De gevolgen van de coronacrisis voor Nederlandse bedrijven en banken
Publication (in Dutch only)Analyse van kwetsbare bedrijven en banken in de coronacrisis
Publication (in Dutch only)Dit achtergronddocument behoort bij de coronapublicatie ’De gevolgen van de coronacrisis voor Nederlandse bedrijven en banken’. Wij analyseren kwetsbare sectoren aan de hand van twee methoden: een voorspelling van faillissementen en een stresstest voor bedrijven. In dit document geven wij een aanvullende toelichting op deze methoden die wij gebruiken om de kansen op wanbetaling van bedrijven te berekenen. →
Markups in a dual labour market: the case of the Netherlands
PublicationWe follow the production function approach to assess markups, which requires the estimation of the output elasticity of a free input. In the basic setup we estimate a structural value added production function, using temporary contract hours as free input. We find rather stable markups in the Netherlands in the period 2006-2016. We show that extending the free variable incorrectly with fixed contract hours results in an increasing markup. →
Are the savings of Dutch households optimal?
PublicationDutch households (implicitly) have an unusual mix of assets. Particularly their high level of mortgage debts and pension entitlements stand out in an international context. In this paper we examine how Dutch household wealth compares to the theoretically optimum. In general we find that Dutch households do not save too much. At retirement age, the median optimum assets are roughly the same as the median observed net assets of Dutch households. However the differences between households can be substantial. in particular have more assets than is optimal according to the model. Their observed wealth remains constant or sometimes even increases after retirement. →
Frontier firms and followers in the Netherlands: estimating productivity and identifying the frontier
PublicationThis study shows that constructing a large dataset, which sufficiently covers all firm sizes, is a prerequisite for studying the divergence hypothesis. We merge datasets of individual firm and employee data in the years 20062015 for the Netherlands, resulting in a representative sample of corporations. We find no evidence of diverging productivity between firms on the national frontier and laggard firms. →
Voorspellen van de werkloosheid. Kan het beter?
Publication (in Dutch only)Dit document beschrijft verschillende routes om de CPB-kortetermijnramingen van de werkloosheid te ondersteunen. Op basis van recente wetenschappelijke literatuur is onderzocht of de werkloosheid nauwkeuriger geraamd kan worden met tijdreeksmodellen. Daarnaast besteden we aandacht aan de kwaliteit van voorspellingen in de buurt van omslagpunten. →