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October 23, 2020

CPB World Trade Monitor August 2020

Figure

Rebound in world trade continues. In August 2020 world trade grew again, by 2.5%, compared to July 2020.

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October 23, 2020

Rebound in world trade continues

Pressrelease

In August 2020 world trade grew again by 2.5% compared to July 2020. This is less than the growth in July, which was 5.0% compared to June. In total, world trade is now 3 to 4% below the pre-corona level. Europe shows a strong export growth of 4.0%. Japanese exports are also growing strongly by 6.6%, while imports continue to fall (-2.1%). The growth of exports of the United States and China are average at 2.5% and 2.3% respectively; imports shows a similar growth with 2.3% and 3.4% respectively.

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October 6, 2020

Nederlandse bedrijven kwetsbaar voor nieuwe coronagolf in buitenland

Publication (in Dutch only)

Nederlandse transportsector en industrie kwetsbaar voor nieuwe coronagolf buitenland.

October 6, 2020

Nederlandse transportsector en industrie kwetsbaar voor nieuwe coronagolf buitenland

Pressrelease (in Dutch only)

Een wereldwijde opleving van het coronavirus en mogelijke bijbehorende buitenlandse lockdownmaatregelen zullen Nederlandse bedrijven in de transportsector en de industrie hard raken. Dat blijkt uit onderzoek van het Centraal Planbureau en het Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek. De omzet in deze sectoren is sterk afhankelijk van de wereldwijde exportvraag. In tegenstelling tot de Nederlandse dienstensector die vooral wordt getroffen door de binnenlandse maatregelen, worden transportbedrijven en de industrie juist geraakt door maatregelen in andere landen en terugval in de wereldhandel. Nieuwe lockdowns in het buitenland hebben daarom grote economische gevolgen voor deze sectoren.

September 25, 2020

CPB World Trade Monitor July 2020

Figure

The rebound in world trade continues, the volume of world trade increased 4.8% in July.

September 25, 2020

Rebound in world trade continues

Pressrelease

The rebound in world trade continues. The CPB World Trade Monitor shows that the volume of world trade increased 4.8% in July. This is somewhat less than in June, when world trade grew with 7,9% compared with May. The rebound arises from the fact that in a lot of countries lockdown measures have been lifted. In the eurozone, exports grew 5.9%, while imports grew 4.1%. Striking is the recovery in the US, where both imports and exports grew with roughly 11%. Chinese exports also made a huge jump (+9.5%), while Chinese imports rose with just 0.5%. Also in other advanced economies the rebound continues. Despite these promising figures, world trade has not yet recovered to pre COVID-19 outbreak levels.

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September 15, 2020

Projections September 2020 (MEV 2021)

Forecast

Extension of support package reduces increase in unemployment, but also leads to greater budget deficit.

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September 15, 2020

Actualisatie Middellangetermijnverkenning 2022-2025

Forecast (in Dutch only)

Corona dempt groei productiviteit en arbeidsaanbod.

September 15, 2020

Schokproef overheidsfinanciën 2020

Publication (in Dutch only)

Dit achtergronddocument beschrijft het doel van een schokproef voor de overheidsfinanciën, geeft een korte introductie in het model CRASH en toont de uitkomsten van een schokproef bij drie verschillende economische scenario’s in de periode 2020-2025. De cijfers in dit achtergronddocument zijn gebaseerd op de MEV 2021 (basispad).

September 15, 2020

CRASH - A Simulation Model for Extreme Events

Publication

What is the impact of extreme external shocks, such as the Great Recession, upon Dutch public finances? The question is very challenging, given that such shocks are very different from mild disruptions of the economy and unique in many respects. This document constructs a model to calculate scenarios of such external shocks. The model includes households, firms, pension funds, banks and the government.

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