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A further decline in world trade in May, but also signs of recovery in the eurozone
PressreleaseWorld trade fell 1.1% in May. This means that the total decline in 2020 up till May is 17%. This follows from the new release of the World Trade Monitor of the Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis (CPB). This means that world trade has decreased by around 17% in 2020. The coronavirus pandemic has played a major role in this. All over the world, both production and consumption have declined due to various measures taken to limit the spread of the virus. This has a great impact on international trade. →
Trade policy analysis with a gravity model
PublicationIn this CPB Background Document we investigate the use of the standard structural gravity model for trade policy analysis at the CPB. The model is intended for long term analyses of trade policy changes and is based on a simple general equilibrium framework. The model is useful despite its simplicity, because it has a good empirical fit. We investigate it by applying the gravity model to both a US trade war scenario and different Brexit scenarios. →
Certificering budgettaire raming Wet implementatie richtlijnen elektronische handel
Publication (in Dutch only)Deze notitie certificeert de geraamde opbrengst van de fiscale beleidsmaatregel uit het wetsvoorstel ‘Wet implementatie richtlijnen elektronische handel’. Het CPB concludeert dat de raming door het ministerie van Financiën redelijk en neutraal is. De mate van onzekerheid schat het CPB in als hoog, voornamelijk vanwege de onzekere toekomstige ontwikkeling van de elektronische handel. →
Unprecedented decline in world trade in April
PressreleaseThe CPB World Trade Monitor shows a historical decline in the world trade volume in April of 12.1% compared with March. Exports fell back significantly in several regions: -23% for both the eurozone and the US, -21% for Latin-America, -14% Japan, and -11% for other advanced economies. Imports declined most in Latin-America (-18%), the eurozone (-17%), the US (-11%), and other advanced economies (-15%). The growth in world trade during the months February to April compared with the preceding three months was -7.2%. None of the regions showed an increase, and the eurozone showed the most negative development (-13% exports, -11% imports). →
The CPB World Trade Monitor: technical description (update 2020)
PublicationThe CPB World Trade Monitor (WTM) is an instrument for bringing together, aggregating, and summarizing worldwide monthly data on international trade and industrial production. Its purpose is to report monthly developments in trade and production at the earliest possible date, covering a sample of countries as large as possible. →
Authors
- Arjan Lejour (13)
- Hugo Rojas-Romagosa (12)
- Adam Elbourne (8)
- Maarten van 't Riet (7)
- Gerdien Meijerink (6)
- Bas Straathof (4)
- Gijsbert Zwart (4)
- Johannes Bollen (4)
- Leon Bettendorf (4)
- Wim Suyker (4)
- Beau Soederhuizen (3)
- Bert Smid (3)
- Katarzyna Grabska (3)
- Michiel Bijlsma (3)
- Sander van Veldhuizen (3)
- Benedikt Vogt (2)
- Bram Hendriks (2)
- Cees Jansen (2)
- Fien van Solinge (2)
- Harro van Heuvelen (2)
- Jan Möhlmann (2)
- Jasper Lukkezen (2)
- Jos Ebregt (2)
- Kan Ji (2)
- Karen van der Wiel (2)
- Lu Zhang (2)
- Maurits van Kempen (2)
- Ona Ciocyte (2)
- Peter Zwaneveld (2)
- Rob Euwals (2)
- Rob Luginbuhl (2)
- Sara Delgado (2)
- Albert van der Horst (1)
- Andrei Dubovik (1)
- Arie ten Cate (1)
- Bert Kramer (1)
- Coen Teulings (1)
- Daan Freeman (1)
- Eddy Bekkers (1)
- Edwin van de Haar (1)
- Elina Ladinska (1)
- Ernest Berkhout (1)
- Eugene Verkade (1)
- George Gelauff (1)
- Henk Kox (1)
- Henri de Groot (1)
- Henry van der Wiel (1)
- Joris de Wind (1)
- Kasper Stuut (1)
- Katharina Ziegler (1)
- Machiel van Dijk (1)
- Marcel Lever (1)
- Marco Ligthart (1)
- Maria Salfi (1)
- Marielle Non (1)
- Nancy van Beers (1)
- Nora Neuteboom (1)
- Paul Veenendaal (1)
- Paul Verstraten (1)
- Peter Broer (1)
- Raoul van Maarseveen (1)
- Rutger Teulings (1)
- Sander Lammers (1)
- Sander Muns (1)
- Sem Duijndam (1)
- Sijbren Cnossen (1)
- Suzanne Kok (1)
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