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October 1, 2020

Dutch tax treaties and developing countries - a network analysis -

Publication

CPB analyses six tax treaties of the Netherlands with developing countries. These treaties are part of a tax network of more than 100 countries. CPB determines the tax burden on dividend, interest and royalty flows over the network and computes the impact of diversion of these flows for withholding tax revenues. This analysis is at the request of the Policy and Operations Evaluation Department (IOB) of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

September 25, 2020

CPB World Trade Monitor July 2020

Figure

The rebound in world trade continues, the volume of world trade increased 4.8% in July.

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September 25, 2020

Rebound in world trade continues

Pressrelease

The rebound in world trade continues. The CPB World Trade Monitor shows that the volume of world trade increased 4.8% in July. This is somewhat less than in June, when world trade grew with 7,9% compared with May. The rebound arises from the fact that in a lot of countries lockdown measures have been lifted. In the eurozone, exports grew 5.9%, while imports grew 4.1%. Striking is the recovery in the US, where both imports and exports grew with roughly 11%. Chinese exports also made a huge jump (+9.5%), while Chinese imports rose with just 0.5%. Also in other advanced economies the rebound continues. Despite these promising figures, world trade has not yet recovered to pre COVID-19 outbreak levels.

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August 25, 2020

CPB World Trade Monitor June 2020

Figure

World trade rebounds in June with a strong catch-up growth of 7.6% compared to May.

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August 25, 2020

A rebound in world trade

Pressrelease

World trade rebounds in June with a strong catch-up growth of 7.6% compared to May. There was growth in almost all countries, except in Japan, where imports fell even further (-2.6%). Also in China and Eastern-Europe there is a fallback in exports, and in Africa and the Middle East imports and exports fell somewhat further. This brings the fall in world trade in the second quarter of 2020 to -12.5%, on top of the -2.7% in the first quarter. Industrial production also continues to recover, with 4.8% growth in June (compared to May). With this, global production is still 8% lower than at the end of last year.

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July 24, 2020

CPB World Trade Monitor May 2020

Figure

A further decline in world trade in May, but also signs of recovery in the eurozone.

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July 24, 2020

A further decline in world trade in May, but also signs of recovery in the eurozone

Pressrelease

World trade fell 1.1% in May. This means that the total decline in 2020 up till May is 17%. This follows from the new release of the World Trade Monitor of the Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis (CPB). This means that world trade has decreased by around 17% in 2020. The coronavirus pandemic has played a major role in this. All over the world, both production and consumption have declined due to various measures taken to limit the spread of the virus. This has a great impact on international trade.

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July 17, 2020

Trade policy analysis with a gravity model

Publication

In this CPB Background Document we investigate the use of the standard structural gravity model for trade policy analysis at the CPB. The model is intended for long term analyses of trade policy changes and is based on a simple general equilibrium framework. The model is useful despite its simplicity, because it has a good empirical fit. We investigate it by applying the gravity model to both a US trade war scenario and different Brexit scenarios.

July 14, 2020

Certificering budgettaire raming Wet implementatie richtlijnen elektronische handel

Publication (in Dutch only)

Deze notitie certificeert de geraamde opbrengst van de fiscale beleidsmaatregel uit het wetsvoorstel ‘Wet implementatie richtlijnen elektronische handel’. Het CPB concludeert dat de raming door het ministerie van Financiën redelijk en neutraal is. De mate van onzekerheid schat het CPB in als hoog, voornamelijk vanwege de onzekere toekomstige ontwikkeling van de elektronische handel.

June 25, 2020

CPB World Trade Monitor April 2020

Figure

The CPB World Trade Monitor shows a historical decline in the world trade volume in April of 12.1% compared with March.

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