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December 27, 2016

Accounting for the Business Cycle Reduces the Estimated Losses from Systemic Banking Crises

We re-estimate the e ffects of systemic banking crises in industrialised countries reported by Cerra and Saxena with a model that includes transitory business cycle shocks.

December 13, 2016

Decemberraming 2016: economische vooruitzichten 2017

De economische groei zet door. Zowel dit jaar, als in 2017 neemt het bbp met 2,1% toe. De werkloosheid daalt volgend jaar naar 5,3% en de overheidsbegroting is in evenwicht. De koopkracht neemt toe met 0,7%. De internationale omgeving blijft echter onzeker.

September 20, 2016

Macro Economic Outlook (MEV) 2017

In this publication CPB presents its analyses and projections of both the Dutch and worldwide economy in 2016 and 2017.

September 20, 2016

De MEV2017-raming en de Europese begrotingsregels

Voor Nederland zijn momenteel de begrotingsregels van de preventieve arm van het Stabiliteits- en Groeipact van belang. De preventieve arm ziet toe op het toegroeien naar en behouden van begrotingsevenwicht.

September 9, 2016

The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks: Continental Europe versus the Anglo-Saxon World

For economic forecasting it is important to know how the real economy responds to major events such as the fall of the Soviet Union, the Greek debt crisis, the recent terrorism attacks in Europe, and the Brexit.

August 17, 2016

Evidence on Dutch macroeconomic and sectoral productivity performance: Some stylised facts

Productivity is the key driver of long-run living standards. However, in recent years productivity growth has been low across the developed world.

June 23, 2016

The CPB World Trade Monitor: technical description

The CPB World Trade Monitor (WTM) is an instrument for bringing together, aggregating, and summarizing worldwide monthly data on international trade and industrial production.

June 9, 2016

Brexit costs for the Netherlands arise from reduced trade

By 2030, the costs for the Netherlands could run up to 1.2% of GDP, or 10 billion euros.

Brexit puzzle
June 9, 2016

Trade effects of Brexit for the Netherlands

On June 23th the United Kingdom (UK) will hold a referendum on its European Union’s (EU) membership. Brexit will occur in the event of a leave vote and this will have far-reaching consequences.

May 30, 2016

CPB Risicorapportage Financiële Markten 2016

Rapportage voor de Tweede Kamer over de internationale en nationale macro-economische ontwikkelingen in samenhang met ontwikkelingen in de financiële sector.