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December 27, 2016

Accounting for the Business Cycle Reduces the Estimated Losses from Systemic Banking Crises

Publication

We re-estimate the e ffects of systemic banking crises in industrialised countries reported by Cerra and Saxena with a model that includes transitory business cycle shocks.

September 9, 2016

The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks: Continental Europe versus the Anglo-Saxon World

Publication

For economic forecasting it is important to know how the real economy responds to major events such as the fall of the Soviet Union, the Greek debt crisis, the recent terrorism attacks in Europe, and the Brexit.

August 17, 2016

Evidence on Dutch macroeconomic and sectoral productivity performance: Some stylised facts

Publication

Productivity is the key driver of long-run living standards. However, in recent years productivity growth has been low across the developed world.

July 14, 2016

Potential economic effects of TTIP for the Netherlands

Publication

The economic effects of TTIP are analysed with WorldScan. TTIP is expected to have a positive effect on trade between the EU and the US and on investment and economic growth in both areas. Hence, the Netherlands will benefit with an increase in GDP of 1.7% in 2030.

June 23, 2016

The CPB World Trade Monitor: technical description

Publication

The CPB World Trade Monitor (WTM) is an instrument for bringing together, aggregating, and summarizing worldwide monthly data on international trade and industrial production.

June 9, 2016

Brexit costs for the Netherlands arise from reduced trade

Publication

By 2030, the costs for the Netherlands could run up to 1.2% of GDP, or 10 billion euros.

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June 9, 2016

Trade effects of Brexit for the Netherlands

Publication

On June 23th the United Kingdom (UK) will hold a referendum on its European Union’s (EU) membership. Brexit will occur in the event of a leave vote and this will have far-reaching consequences.

May 27, 2016

Determinants of long-term interest rates

Publication

The nominal long-term interest rate decreased in the past decades due to the decrease in (expected) inflation and in potential growth and due to changes in the age structure of the population.

May 10, 2016

Literature survey on the economic impact of TTIP

Publication

In this paper we review, compare and assess the CGE- and SG-based studies on TTIP in order to draw conclusions on the expected economic effects of TTIP.