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The long-term interest rate in the Euro area is an important exogenous input in CPB macro-econometric models to project the world economy and the Dutch economy, so it is important to have a reliable projection for it. However, there were concerns about the CPB practice of forecasting the long-term interest rate, especially over the inconsistency of long-term interest rate projections in the short and medium term. Therefore, this document compares the old CPB practice with several alternative forecasting methods for long-term interest rates, and evaluates these methods.
CPB Background Document | 22 March 2018
26 pages | pdf document, 1.3 MB
CPB Communication | 6 June 2017
pdf document, 736.7 KB
CPB Communication | 30 May 2016
54 pages | pdf document, 2.1 MB
This CPB Background Document presents an assessment of the technical assumptions on the projections (short: projections) of four variables.
CPB Background Document | 16 March 2015
18 pages | pdf document, 2.1 MB
The fall in global output in 2009 will be the largest of the post-war period.
CPB Document 197 | 16 December 2009
168 pages | pdf document, 1.8 MB
ISBN 9789058334305 | Go to publication