Publications

Now that the government has finalised its budget for next year, the expected increase in purchasing power in 2025 will be lower than previously estimated. Meanwhile, the budget deficit will be slightly lower. →

The economy is on the rise again, with projected growth of 0.6% in 2024 and 1.6% in 2025. An increase in median purchasing power means that the loss of purchasing power inflicted by the inflation shock has been reversed. The budget deficit in the coming years will be significantly higher than last year. →

In this paper, we explore how machine learning can enhance macroeconomic forecasting for the Dutch economy. →

It is possible to promote diversity among student populations without the use of lottery selection. →

The growth of labour productivity in the market sector returned to a normal level of 1.0% in 2022. →

Starting in 2026, the EU is gradually introducing a carbon import tax at the EU border (CBAM), to counter carbon emissions relocation to outside the EU. CBAM reduces this carbon leakage by about one-third. →

Migration is largely driven by labour demand. This implies that, beyond direct migration policies, economic policies can also play a significant role in shaping migration to and from the Netherlands. This is the conclusion of the report “Economic Dynamics and Migration” that the CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis published on 9 April, of which an English version is now available. →

The CPB will use a new time series model to support the forecast of GDP growth. →

The introduction of widespread trade restrictions between the West and both Russia and China (referred to as decoupling) precipitates significant short-term shifts in trade flows. →

Purchasing power restored, public finances need a course correction. →