Publications


September 17, 2024

Projections September 2024 (MEV 2025)

Now that the government has finalised its budget for next year, the expected increase in purchasing power in 2025 will be lower than previously estimated. Meanwhile, the budget deficit will be slightly lower.

MEV 2025 - Promo UK
August 16, 2024

August projections 2024 (cMEV 2025)

The economy is on the rise again, with projected growth of 0.6% in 2024 and 1.6% in 2025. An increase in median purchasing power means that the loss of purchasing power inflicted by the inflation shock has been reversed. The budget deficit in the coming years will be significantly higher than last year.

August projections block
July 10, 2024

The added value of machine learning for macroeconomic forecasting in the Netherlands

In this paper, we explore how machine learning can enhance macroeconomic forecasting for the Dutch economy.

Woman working on a computer
May 29, 2024

The Costs of Affirmative Action: Evidence from a Medical School Lottery

It is possible to promote diversity among student populations without the use of lottery selection.

Students
May 2, 2024

National Productivity Board 2022 annual report

The growth of labour productivity in the market sector returned to a normal level of 1.0% in 2022.

Man on bike
April 25, 2024

European Carbon Import Tax Effective Against Leakage

Starting in 2026, the EU is gradually introducing a carbon import tax at the EU border (CBAM), to counter carbon emissions relocation to outside the EU. CBAM reduces this carbon leakage by about one-third.

Forge
April 9, 2024

State of the economy and economic policy play a key role in shaping migration

Migration is largely driven by labour demand. This implies that, beyond direct migration policies, economic policies can also play a significant role in shaping migration to and from the Netherlands. This is the conclusion of the report “Economic Dynamics and Migration” that the CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis published on 9 April, of which an English version is now available.

No title
March 21, 2024

Nowcasting GDP growth

The CPB will use a new time series model to support the forecast of GDP growth.

Monitor with numbers
March 5, 2024

Geopolitical decoupling and integration scenarios of global trade

The introduction of widespread trade restrictions between the West and both Russia and China (referred to as decoupling) precipitates significant short-term shifts in trade flows.

Container boat
February 22, 2024

Projections February 2024 (CEP 2024)

Purchasing power restored, public finances need a course correction.

CEP 2024 Web image promo UK