Publications


August 11, 2020

Forecasting wage growth and price inflation in the Netherlands with a BVAR model

This background document describes a Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR) model to support the CPB short-term forecasts of wage growth and price...

July 17, 2020

Trade policy analysis with a gravity model

In this CPB Background Document we investigate the use of the standard structural gravity model for trade policy analysis at the CPB. The model is intended for long term analyses of trade policy changes and is based on...

June 2, 2020

A stress test of Dutch SMEs

This background document to CPB’s Financial Stability Report provides policymakers with an initial assessment of the effects of the corona crisis on the liquidity position of Dutch SMEs and its impact on their...

April 24, 2020

The CPB World Trade Monitor: technical description (update 2020)

The CPB World Trade Monitor (WTM) is an instrument for bringing together, aggregating, and summarizing worldwide monthly data on international trade and industrial production. Its purpose is to report monthly...

April 21, 2020

MICSIM 2.0 A behavioural microsimulation model for the analysis of tax-benefit reforms in the Netherlands: an updated version

In November 2014, the CPB presented the MICSIM model: a behavioural microsimulation model for the analysis of tax-benefit reforms. MICSIM has been further developed in recent years, and this background document...

February 13, 2020

Are the savings of Dutch households optimal?

Dutch households (implicitly) have an unusual mix of assets. Particularly their high level of mortgage debts and pension entitlements stand out in an international context. In this paper we examine how Dutch household...

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November 5, 2019

More environmental benefits with recycling #how?

The use of secondary raw materials can generate significant environmental benefits.

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November 1, 2019

Evaluation of the Climate Agreement

This report contains an analysis of the climate measures taken by the Rutte III Cabinet, as requested by the Minister of Economic Affairs and Climate Policy. The package of measures, with additions and adjustments,...

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October 17, 2019

Cyber Security Risk Assessment 2019

Persistent risks, new risks and uncertainty.

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