Kopafbeelding publicaties CPB

The Impact of House Price Shocks on the Savings of Dutch Homeowners and Renters

CPB Discussion Paper 346, 3 April 2017

We study the impact of changes in house prices on savings using administrative panel data on Dutch owner-occupying and renting households over the period 2006-2013. We analyze the immediate response as well as the response aggregated over several years.

We find a marginal propensity to save (MPS) out of housing wealth in the short-run between 0 and -0.05, while the long-run effect ranges from -0.02 to -0.13. Younger homeowners consistently respond more strongly both in the short and the long-run, while pre-crisis leverage has a non-homogeneous effect in the short-run and no effect in the long-run. We only find a small, significant, and positive shortrun effect for old renters and no effect for all other groups of renters, suggesting that our results are not driven by common causality.

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