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CPB World trade monitor

CPB World Trade Monitor July 2018
The CPB World Trade Monitor shows that the volume of world trade increased 1.1% in July, having decreased 0.3% in June (initial estimate: -0.8%).

Developments in global international trade and industrial production July 2018:

  • World trade volume increased 1.1% month‐on‐month (growth was ‐0.3% in June, initial estimate ‐0.8%).
  • World trade momentum was 1.0% (non‐annualised; 0.2% in June, initial estimate 0.0%).
  • World industrial production increased 0.1% month‐on‐month (0.1% in June, initial estimate 0.3%).
  • World industrial production momentum was 0.2% (non‐annualised; 0.5% in June, initial estimate 0.7%).

For questions. please contact wtm@cpb.nl.
Read also the CPB Background Document 'The CPB World Trade Monitor: technical description'.
In September 2016 (starting with the July 2016 monitor) the WTM base year has been moved from 2005 to 2010. Clarification of the procedure and its outcomes is given in the downloadable appendix (CPB Memo 'Change of base year WTM').

The release of the next monthly CPB World Trade Monitor is scheduled tentatively for 25 October 2018, 15:00 hours.

New updates

If you want to receive an email alert every time CPB publishes its update of the world trade monitor, please subscribe to our alert service on this page (CPB Data).

Frequently asked questions

  • How do I know whether new data is available?

    If you want to receive an email alert every time CPB publishes an update of the world trade monitor (monthly), please subscribe to our alert service (CPB Data). You can subscribe to our world trade monitor rss-feed as well. In the CPB Calendar you can find the release date of the next CPB World Trade Monitor.

  • Do Euro Area trade flows include intra-EA trade?

    Yes. All trade flows in the WTM are gross.

  • Do trade flows include services?

    No. WTM trade flows are based on monthly Customs data and include goods trade only. Cross-border goods flows measured this way generally do not coincide with goods trade as reported in national accounts.

  • What exactly is ‘trade volume’?

    Volume series are series in constant dollar prices, that is base year prices. In the base year, the year total of volume equals the year total of nominal value and the year average of the price index equals 100. The base year currently is 2010. (See technical note Change of base year. (appendix)) At the level of individual countries, either import/export volume is computed from import/export value and import/export price or price is computed from import/export value and import/export, depending on the availability and reliability of data. Aggregate (regional) series in constant prices are the sums of country series in constant prices; aggregate prices are computed from aggregate value and aggregate volume.

  • Which countries are covered and how are they classified into regional blocks?

    See Table 2.1 (industrial production) and Table 2.2 (international trade) in the Background Document 'Technical Description'.

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