December 21, 2022

A look at the Dutch position in international student assessments

This study examines to what extent international student assessments are an accurate indicator of educational performance and concludes that various problems can influence the score and position of the Netherlands.

high school class
December 13, 2022

Getting off to a flying start? The effects of an early-career international mobility grant on scientific performance

Researchers who receive the Rubicon grant perform the same as comparable non-awarded applicants on a number of academic outcomes, such as the number of scientific publications and the citation score.

December 6, 2022

Energy price scenarios

Energy cap dampens purchasing power risks, but is not a structural solution.

Energy price scenarios
November 7, 2022

Wealth, gifts, and estate planning at the end of life

We show that gifts made to heirs before death are substantial and highly responsive to taxation. Therefore, characterising them and understanding their determinants is crucial for tax design. We use high-quality, intergenerationally-linked data on wealth, gifts, and medical expenses from the Netherlands. Exploiting variation in the timing of death, we find that the wealthiest half of singles (including widows) with children transfer over 10% of their wealth to their children in anticipation of death. Giving is highly sensitive to how heavily gifts are taxed, relative to bequests.

The transfer of a piggy bank
October 4, 2022

Forecasting World Trade Using Big Data and Machine Learning Techniques

We compare machine learning techniques to a large Bayesian VAR for nowcasting and forecasting world merchandise trade. We focus on how the predictive performance of the machine learning models changes when they have...

September 29, 2022

Temporal Patterns in Economics Research

We study the duration of topics in economics research by looking at how much time passes between publication of textually similar papers....

September 20, 2022

Projections September 2022 (MEV 2023)

Temporary policy softens impact of energy crisis in 2023.

Macro Economic Outlook 2023
August 19, 2022

Projections August 2022

Inflation is affecting more and more people, economic growth decreases.

Projections August 2022
July 13, 2022

Structural causes of low interest rates

Interest rates have been trending downward since at least 1980s in developed economies, including the euro area. In fact, real rates (the real rate is the interest rate adjusted for inflation) are now at historically low levels.

July 12, 2022

Saffier 3.0: Estimation results

This technical document supplements the general documentation of the macromodel Saffier 3.0....