Publications

July 24, 2020

A Structural Microsimulation Model for Demand-Side Cost-Sharing in Healthcare

Demand-side cost-sharing schemes reduce moral hazard in healthcare at the expense of out-of-pocket risk and equity. With a structural microsimulation model, we show that shifting the starting point of the deductible...

July 17, 2020

Trade policy analysis with a gravity model

In this CPB Background Document we investigate the use of the standard structural gravity model for trade policy analysis at the CPB. The model is intended for long term analyses of trade policy changes and is based on...

June 16, 2020

June forecast 2020

Unprecedented 6% decrease in GDP in 2020, followed by an increase of 3% next year. Unemployment would double, but, although public finances would be severely impacted, they would not enter the danger zone. Great uncertainty.

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June 2, 2020

A stress test of Dutch SMEs

This background document to CPB’s Financial Stability Report provides policymakers with an initial assessment of the effects of the corona crisis on the liquidity position of Dutch SMEs and its impact on their...

May 27, 2020

Prices and market power in mental health care: Evidence from a major policy change in the Netherlands

In the Dutch health care system of managed competition, insurers and mental health providers negotiate on prices for mental health services. Contract prices are capped by a regulator who sets a maximum price for each...

May 26, 2020

The information value of energy labels: Evidence from the Dutch residential housing market

Do energy labels contain extra information that buyers cannot observe themselves? Which labeling scheme is more effective: a voluntary or a mandatory one? In this paper we examine the information value of voluntary and...

April 28, 2020

The urban rural-education gap: do cities indeed make us smarter?

Despite the existence of a large urban-rural education gap in many countries, little attention has been paid whether cities enjoy a comparative advantage in the production of human capital....

April 24, 2020

The CPB World Trade Monitor: technical description (update 2020)

The CPB World Trade Monitor (WTM) is an instrument for bringing together, aggregating, and summarizing worldwide monthly data on international trade and industrial production. Its purpose is to report monthly...

April 21, 2020

MICSIM 2.0 A behavioural microsimulation model for the analysis of tax-benefit reforms in the Netherlands: an updated version

In November 2014, the CPB presented the MICSIM model: a behavioural microsimulation model for the analysis of tax-benefit reforms. MICSIM has been further developed in recent years, and this background document...