Adam Elbourne

wetenschappelijk medewerker, Sector 2 Macro en internationale economie
Photo of Adam Elbourne
Centraal Planbureau

Bezuidenhoutseweg 30
2594 AV Den Haag


Publications

May 31, 2023

Risicorapportage Financiële markten 2023

Nederlandse financiële stelsel kan schokken opvangen in tijden van economische onzekerheid.

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April 20, 2023

A simulation of energy prices and corporate profits

Firms have absorbed the higher costs for gas and electricity with energy savings and price increases for customers. The higher energy prices are expected to lead to only a limited number of additional loss-making firms.

A simulation of energy prices and corporate profits
October 4, 2022

Forecasting World Trade Using Big Data and Machine Learning Techniques

We compare machine learning techniques to a large Bayesian VAR for nowcasting and forecasting world merchandise trade. We focus on how the predictive performance of the machine learning models changes when they have...

July 13, 2022

Structural causes of low interest rates

Interest rates have been trending downward since at least 1980s in developed economies, including the euro area. In fact, real rates (the real rate is the interest rate adjusted for inflation) are now at historically low levels.

savings
June 30, 2022

Inflatiescenario’s

De inflatie is op dit moment heel hoog, maar daalt naar verwachting in 2023. De Europese Centrale Bank (ECB) kan er door geloofwaardig beleid voor zorgen dat de inflatieverwachtingen voor de middellange termijn in de eurozone stabiel rond de 2% zijn. Daarbij is er ruimte voor loonstijgingen in Nederland.

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