Adam Elbourne

wetenschappelijk medewerker, Sector 2 Macro en internationale economie
Photo of Adam Elbourne
Centraal Planbureau

Bezuidenhoutseweg 30
2594 AV Den Haag


July 4, 2023

Bank Funding, SME lending and Risk Taking

European companies heavily rely on bank credit to finance their operations and investments. Therefore, it is crucial for banks to take risks on corporate loans, although excessive risk-taking can have negative...

May 31, 2023

Risicorapportage Financiële markten 2023

Nederlandse financiële stelsel kan schokken opvangen in tijden van economische onzekerheid.

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April 20, 2023

A simulation of energy prices and corporate profits

Firms have absorbed the higher costs for gas and electricity with energy savings and price increases for customers. The higher energy prices are expected to lead to only a limited number of additional loss-making firms.

A simulation of energy prices and corporate profits
October 4, 2022

Forecasting World Trade Using Big Data and Machine Learning Techniques

We compare machine learning techniques to a large Bayesian VAR for nowcasting and forecasting world merchandise trade. We focus on how the predictive performance of the machine learning models changes when they have...

July 13, 2022

Structural causes of low interest rates

Interest rates have been trending downward since at least 1980s in developed economies, including the euro area. In fact, real rates (the real rate is the interest rate adjusted for inflation) are now at historically low levels.