Publications

October 15, 2020

Promising policies for integration on the labour market, English summary

Large and persistent differences in labour market participation by migration background.

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October 12, 2020

Offshore Tax Evasion and Wealth Inequality: Evidence from a Tax Amnesty in the Netherlands

As long as there have been taxes, people have tried to avoid and evade them. Interest in these phenomena has been fueled by the effects on public revenues, as well as on the distribution of wealth and income....

October 1, 2020

Dutch tax treaties and developing countries - a network analysis -

CPB analyses six tax treaties of the Netherlands with developing countries. These treaties are part of a tax network of more than 100 countries. CPB determines the tax burden on dividend, interest and royalty flows over...

September 24, 2020

An assessment of the Phillips curve over time: evidence for the United States and the euro area

We assess the stability of the coefficient on the unemployment gap in various linear dynamic Phillips curve models. We allow the coefficient on the unemployment gap and the other variables in our model to be...

September 15, 2020

Projections September 2020 (MEV 2021)

Extension of support package reduces increase in unemployment, but also leads to greater budget deficit.

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September 15, 2020

CRASH - A Simulation Model for Extreme Events

What is the impact of extreme external shocks, such as the Great Recession, upon Dutch public finances? The question is very challenging, given that such shocks are very different from mild disruptions of the economy...

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August 27, 2020

The impact of a lower return on wealth on optimal wealth accumulation

The return on safe assets has been declining over the past 40 years lowering the return on people’s wealth. Should people save more for retirement to compensate for the lower return on wealth?...

August 17, 2020

August projections 2020-2021

Renewed growth in Dutch economy from third quarter onwards, but downturn will reverberate.

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August 11, 2020

Forecasting wage growth and price inflation in the Netherlands with a BVAR model

This background document describes a Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR) model to support the CPB short-term forecasts of wage growth and price...

July 24, 2020

A Structural Microsimulation Model for Demand-Side Cost-Sharing in Healthcare

Demand-side cost-sharing schemes reduce moral hazard in healthcare at the expense of out-of-pocket risk and equity. With a structural microsimulation model, we show that shifting the starting point of the deductible...