January 25, 2019

CPB World Trade Monitor November 2018

The CPB World Trade Monitor shows that the volume of world trade decreased 1.6% in November, having increased 1.2% in October (initial estimate 1.1%). Due to the US shutdown, no data on US import/export values in November are available. The 0.0% import/export volume growth for the US is a technical assumption.

Developments in global international trade and industrial production November 2018:

  • World trade volume decreased 1.6% month‐on‐month (growth was 1.2% in October, initial estimate 1.1%). Due to the US shutdown, no data on US import/export values in November are available. The 0.0% import/export volume growth for the US is a technical assumption.
  • World trade momentum was 0.0% (non‐annualised; 0.9% in October, initial estimate 0.7%).
  • World industrial production decreased 0.2% month‐on‐month (+0.5% in October, initial estimate +0.2%).
  • World industrial production momentum was 0.4% (non‐annualised; 0.6% in October, unchanged from initial estimate).

For questions. please contact wtm@cpb.nl.
Read also the CPB Background Document 'The CPB World Trade Monitor: technical description'.
In September 2016 (starting with the July 2016 monitor) the WTM base year has been moved from 2005 to 2010. Clarification of the procedure and its outcomes is given in the downloadable appendix (CPB Memo 'Change of base year WTM').

The release of the next monthly CPB World Trade Monitor is scheduled tentatively for 25 Febuary 2019, 15:00 hours.

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