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We compare the accuracy of our published GDP growth forecasts from our large macro model, SAFFIER, to those produced by VAR based models using both classical and Bayesian estimation techniques. →

Wanted: world trade prophet. →

This paper shows two alternative methodologies for decomposition of GDP growth. →

This is an update of an analysis which CPB conducted three years ago to identify the factors that determine how the price of a house in the Netherlands develops. →

This document is in Dutch, memorandum 200 is the English version of this document. →

The composition of economic growth can be analysed in two different ways. In the 'traditional method' for the decomposition of GDP growth, total imports are deducted from exports. →

Official forecasts of international institutions are never purely model-based. Preliminary results of models are adjusted with expert opinions. →

Since late 2004, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis has been using the macro-econometric model SAFFIER for its short-term and medium-term analyses. →

This report analyses the accuracy of CPB’s short-term forecasts of the Dutch economy in the period 1971-2005. →

Voor analyses en ramingen op korte en middellange termijn maakt het CPB sinds eind 2004 gebruik van het macro-econometrische model Saffier. →