Seminar

The Exposure of Different Occupation Groups and Local Labour Markets to Brexit

Donderdag 29 november 2018 geeft Peter Levell (IFS) een presentatie getiteld: 'The Exposure of Different Occupation Groups and Local Labour Markets to Brexit'

Datum
29 november 2018
Tijd
13:00 - 14:00
Locatie
CPB kantoor, vergaderzaal 1 (Duinzaal), Bezuidenhoutseweg 30, Den Haag
Presentatie
Peter Levell (IFS)
Discussant
Hugo Rojas-Romagosa (CPB)
Voertaal
English

Trade shocks are likely to have heterogeneous impacts across workers. We use detailed micro data to examine the exposure of UK workers to a Brexit-related trade shock. We construct a model of labour demand that accounts for changes in patterns of demand for industry output, the skill and industry composition of the local labour market, and the role of input-output links across industries. We  find large differences in exposure across skill groups and within skill groups across local labour market. Expected wage declines are predicted to be greatest for skilled blue-collar workers, who are in the upper-middle section of the earnings distribution.

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